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Tata Motors loses 40% Overnight - But it's a Demerger, not a Disaster!

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In early trading, Tata Motors’ stock tumbled from ₹660.90 to around ₹399, marking an apparent drop of nearly 40 % — sparking concern among investors. But this steep fall is not the result of business failure; it reflects a pre-planned corporate restructuring (demerger).

Tata Motors has split its commercial vehicle (CV) business from its passenger vehicle (PV) arm. In effect, the stock now represents only the PV business, and shareholders will receive shares of the newly formed CV entity (TMLCV) proportional to their holdings. Analysts like Nomura have pegged near-term volatility as technical risk, given the valuation adjustments.

It’s critical to note: the combined value of the PV shares and the new CV shares should, in principle, align with Tata Motors’ earlier total market capitalization. The apparent “loss” is largely illusory — a book-keeping realignment.

For long-term investors, the demerger may be positive. By allowing each unit to focus on its core strengths, there’s potential for more clarity, better capital allocation, and unlocked value over time.

That said, watch for how the markets price each unit separately, and monitor performance in key areas such as the Jaguar Land Rover (JLR) business, margins, and demand trends. Volatility is expected during this transition, but the fundamental value need not be lost.

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