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Nearly 20 IMF bailouts later, why is Pakistan still spiraling into crisis?

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Pakistan's economic crisis has become a persistent cycle of borrowing, mismanagement, and missed reform opportunities. Despite receiving nearly two dozen bailouts from the IMF and World Bank over decades, the country remains mired in economic instability.

A fundamental issue is Pakistan’s extremely narrow tax base. Only a tiny fraction of its population pays income tax, severely limiting government revenue. This hampers the state’s ability to invest in development or stabilize its finances, forcing it to rely on external loans to plug fiscal deficits. Instead of implementing deep structural reforms to fix this gap, successive governments have relied on short-term fixes that do not address underlying issues.

Additionally, large defense spending consumes significant national resources, often outpacing development expenditure. This imbalance, coupled with low human capital investment and lack of industrial growth, has led to poor productivity and stagnant GDP expansion. Chronic political instability, weak governance, and a lack of fiscal discipline further deter foreign investment.

Pakistan’s global image has also suffered due to associations with extremism and terror financing. This not only affects bilateral relations but also influences the conditions imposed by international financial institutions, making borrowing terms more stringent. Foreign donors are increasingly wary of providing aid without accountability.

The “bailout-borrow-bust” loop continues because of delayed reforms, corruption, and institutional inefficiency. With rising inflation, currency devaluation, and growing public debt, the country is caught in a cycle that undermines economic sovereignty.

Experts argue that unless Pakistan undertakes comprehensive tax reform, reduces military expenditure, curbs corruption, and fosters political stability, it risks remaining a perennial case study in economic mismanagement rather than achieving sustainable growth.

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